Okay, so, I’ve been messing around with some college basketball predictions lately, specifically for the Montana vs. Eastern Washington game. It’s been a bit of a rollercoaster, let me tell you.
First off, I started by gathering a ton of data. I mean, I dug into recent games, player stats, you name it. I really wanted to get a good feel for how both teams have been performing. I noticed that Joe Pridgen is a beast on the boards for Montana, pulling down 8 rebounds a game. And Brandon Whitney, that guy can dish it out for Montana.
- Looked at the data: Yeah, so I started by just looking at the numbers. How’s Montana been doing? How about Eastern Washington? Recent games, scores, all that jazz.
- Focused on key players: Okay, so who are the guys making things happen? For Montana, it’s definitely Joe Pridgen on the rebounds.
- Simulations are key: This is where it got interesting. I used this model that runs, like, 10,000 simulations of the game. It’s pretty wild to see how it all plays out.
Then, I started playing with some prediction models. I found one that runs like 10,000 game simulations based on the team’s average scores. After running it a bunch of times, the model kept spitting out a final score of Montana 76, Eastern Washington 76. A tie! It was driving me nuts at first, because, you know, who wants a tie?
But then I dug deeper into the model’s analysis. Turns out, it’s giving Montana a 52% chance of winning, and Eastern Washington a 48% chance. So, it’s basically a coin flip, but with a slight edge to Montana. I mean, I was going back and forth on this one. One minute I was sure Montana had it, the next I was leaning towards Eastern Washington.
I even looked at some betting odds. Eastern Washington was at +108 on the Moneyline, which, you know, if you’re into that sort of thing, could be interesting. I mean it indicated that Eastern Washington are underdogs.
I also saw that some experts were really focused on the over/under for this game, which makes sense given the tight score prediction. I guess it’s not just about who wins, but also how many points are scored in total. I start to run the model again, and then adjust some paraments.
What did I get?
After all this, I’m still not 100% sure who’s going to win. It’s that close! But, the data and the simulations are leaning slightly towards Montana. It’s going to be a nail-biter, that’s for sure. And, honestly, that’s what makes it so fun to predict. If it were easy, it wouldn’t be any fun, right? So, there you have it. That’s my deep dive into the Montana vs. Eastern Washington prediction. Hope you guys find it useful, or at least entertaining! Let me know what you think! I am so excited to see what will happen.
